How many medals will Shani Davis win?

I'm going to bet that Shani Davis will win two gold medals, in the 1000 and 1500. I would have penciled him in for a third gold medal in the team pursuit had he chosen to compete as part of the American team. For the second consecutive Games, Davis has elected not to contest the team pursuit. His absence will be a significant hindrance to the American chances. Davis with Chad Hedrick and Trevor Marsicano would contend for the gold, without Davis, the Americans are unlikely to wind up on the podium.

Why does Davis chose not to particiapte in the team pursuit? Only he can answer that question. He has never displayed an interest in being part of the US pursuit team. American fans can only wonder what would happen if the three world champions teamed up, the possibility of a US gold rested in Shani's hands.

The men's 500 meters is absolutely WIDE open. There are upwards of ten men who could win the event. My formchart:
Gold: Lee Kyu-Hyeok, KOR
Silver: Mikka Poutala, FIN
Bronze: Tucker Fredricks, USA
4. Lee Kang-Seok, KOR
5. Keichiro Nagashima, JPN
6. Joji Kato, JPN
7. Jamie Gregg, CAN
8. Yuya Oikawa, JPN
9. Ronald Mulder, NED
10. Jan Smeekens, NED
Outsiders: Shani Davis; Yu Fengtong, CHN
The true wild card is eight-time World Champion Jeremy Wortherspoon, CAN who has not competed much on the World Cup circuit this season after breaking an arm. If he is near his best, he has as good a chance as anybody to capture the gold.

1000 Meters:
Gold: Shani Davis, USA
Silver: Lee Kyu-Heok, KOR
Bronze: Denny Morrison, CAN
Other contenders: Mo Tae-Bum, KOR; Poutala; Mark Tuitert, NED; Trevor Marsicano, USA; Simon Kuipers, NED; Chad Hedrick, USA; Mun Jun, KOR

1500 Meters:
Gold: Shani Davis, USA
Silver: Denny Morrison, CAN
Bronze: Chad Hedrick, USA
Other contenders: Havard Bokko, NOR; Lucas Makowsky, CAN; Stefan Groothuis, NED; Mo tae-Bum, KOR; Trevor Marsicano, USA; Enrico Fabris, ITA; Ivan Skobrev, RUS
NOTE: Morrison has history on his side. The men's 1500 meters has been won by the host nation more than any other event in the Winter Olympics (1952, '80, '94, '02 & '06).

5000 Meters:
Gold: Sven Kramer, NED
Silver: Havard Bokko, NOR
Bronze: Bob de Jong, NED
Other contenders: Ivan Skobrev, RUS; Enrico Fabris, ITA; Carl Verheijen, NED; Chad Hedrick, USA; Walter Olde Heuvel, NED; Shani Davis, USA; Lee Seung-Hoon, KOR

10000 Meters:
Gold; Sven Kramer, NED
Silver: Bob de Jong, NED
Bronze: Havard Bokko, NOR

Team Pursuit:
Gold: Netherlands
Silver: Canada
Bronze: Norway
Other Contenders: Italy, United States, Sweden,